Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 1.337029 1.641603 2.033697 2.590815 3.389464 4.541164 6.430474
2025-02-16 0.906045 1.219020 1.683004 2.469889 3.893046 6.687499 13.889891
2025-02-23 0.722910 1.034235 1.543645 2.532149 4.711347 10.538028 37.763006
2025-03-02 0.618874 0.927762 1.473905 2.660515 5.802831 17.578918 163.092281
2025-03-09 0.534464 0.827796 1.375987 2.673013 6.666262 27.468776 1755.651633
2025-03-16 0.461343 0.730058 1.251226 2.559653 7.066244 38.358916 NaN
2025-03-23 0.423694 0.688549 1.226773 2.686658 8.568169 75.152720 NaN
2025-03-30 0.386342 0.640220 1.174400 2.712544 9.772600 144.961750 NaN
2025-04-06 0.349985 0.587787 1.100359 2.640495 10.442104 260.338515 NaN
2025-04-13 0.320728 0.545303 1.040297 2.588748 11.240785 559.866737 NaN
2025-04-20 0.309300 0.537490 1.061098 2.826275 14.829404 14132.169410 NaN
2025-04-27 0.295133 0.521683 1.058334 2.981865 18.596752 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.275474 0.492038 1.015231 2.964973 20.836261 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.254659 0.457616 0.953593 2.845044 21.544816 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.242533 0.441205 0.938235 2.927003 26.177401 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.233647 0.431008 0.938230 3.086149 34.313773 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.221916 0.412870 0.911842 3.101856 40.136627 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.207754 0.387668 0.860527 2.962395 40.566558 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.201472 0.380481 0.862199 3.118765 55.044113 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.193094 0.367407 0.843531 3.150717 66.765747 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.183163 0.349698 0.807675 3.061861 71.010315 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.174518 0.334465 0.777686 2.998173 77.403958 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.172502 0.335359 0.799824 3.291408 136.754214 NaN NaN